Eleições 2016 – Pesquisa Ibope em SBC

Nunc a pretium velit
February 3, 2017



Primeira pesquisa de intenção de voto em São Bernardo do Campo mostra empate entre Alex Manente e Orlando Morando

Entre os dias 05 e 07 de julho o IBOPE Inteligência realizou uma pesquisa de intenção de voto para a Prefeitura de São Bernardo do Campo. Neste momento, em que as candidaturas não estão oficialmente definidas, os cenários de intenção de voto testados consideram possíveis nomes para a disputa.


Foram testados três cenários de intenção de voto. No cenário mais provável e completo, Alex Manente (PPS) e Orlando Morando (PSDB) aparecem empatados tecnicamente com 28% e 25% das intenções de voto, respectivamente. Em outro patamar surgem os pré-candidatos Mauricio Soares (PHS) mencionado por 6% dos eleitores, Tarcisio Secoli (PT) por 5%, Marcelo Lima (SD) por 4%, Professor Aldo Santos (PSOL) por 3% e Evandro de Lima (PT do B) citado por menos de 1% dos respondentes. Aqueles que declaram a intenção de votar em branco ou anular o voto totalizam 22%, enquanto 7% estão indecisos ou preferem não responder.


Pergunta: Se a eleição para Prefeito de São Bernardo do Campo fosse hoje e os candidatos fossem estes, em quem o(a) sr(a) votaria? (%)


PesquisaIbope-PreviaSBC-Resultado1

Num outro cenário, foi investigada a preferência dos eleitores considerando um número reduzido de possíveis candidatos. Nessa simulação, Alex Manente e Orlando Morando continuam tecnicamente empatados com, respectivamente, 33% e 30%. Em um segundo patamar aparece o Tarcisio Secoli com 8% das menções. Aqueles que declaram a intenção de votar em branco ou anular o voto representam 23% do eleitorado, enquanto 6% optam por não responder à pergunta.


Pergunta:Se a eleição para Prefeito de São Bernardo do Campo fosse hoje e os candidatos fossem estes, em quem o(a) sr(a) votaria? (%)

Sitiplesp.org_.br-PesquisaIbope-PreviaSBC-Resultado2

Também foi testado um cenário incluindo o nome do ex-Prefeito William Dib como o candidato do PSDB para eleições de São Bernardo do Campo. Nesse contexto, Alex Manente aparece à frente na disputa com 37% das intenções de voto. O pré-candidato Mauricio Soares obtém 7% das citações, seguido de perto por Marcelo Lima e William Dib com 6% das intenções de voto cada. Tarcisio Secoli e Professor Aldo Santos são mencionados por 5% e 3% dos eleitores, respectivamente, enquanto Evandro de Lima apresenta 1% das citações. Aqueles que declaram intenção de votar em branco ou anular o voto somam 27%, enquanto os indecisos representam 8% da amostra.


Pergunta:Pergunta: Se a eleição para Prefeito de São Bernardo do Campo fosse hoje e os candidatos fossem estes, em quem o(a) sr(a) votaria? (%)


PesquisaIbope-PreviaSBC-Resultado3

Intenção de voto espontânea.
Na medida espontânea, em que os entrevistados são perguntados sobre a intenção de voto sem a apresentação dos nomes dos possíveis candidatos, 51% dizem não saber em quem votar, enquanto outros 21% declaram que pretendem votar em branco ou anular o voto. Os pré-candidatos Orlando Morando e Alex Manente são mencionados espontaneamente por 10% e 9%, respectivamente. Os demais possíveis candidatos têm até 4% das menções.


Rejeição.
O IBOPE Inteligência perguntou também em quais dos pré-candidatos os entrevistados não votariam de jeito nenhum. William Dib é o mais citado (36%), seguido por Alex Manente e Orlando Morando com 28% cada. Mauricio Soares aparece com 27% e Tarcisio Secoli com 24%. Marcelo Lima é citado por 17% dos eleitores, Professor Aldo Santos por 16% e Evandro de Lima obtém o menor índice (15%). Aqueles que preferem não responder correspondem a 11% da amostra e 8% declaram espontaneamente que poderiam votar em qualquer um dos nomes apresentados. Nesta pergunta os entrevistados podem mencionar mais de um pré-candidato.


Avaliação da administração municipal.
A administração do Prefeito Luiz Marinho é avaliada de maneira regular por pouco mais de um terço dos eleitores (39%), enquanto 31% avaliam de forma negativa (ruim ou péssima). Consideram a administração ótima ou boa, 29% dos entrevistados. Cerca de metade da amostra (52%) desaprova a forma como Luiz Marinho vem administrando o município, enquanto outros 41% declaram aprová-la. Aqueles que não sabem ou preferem não responder totalizam 7%.

Os respondentes também foram questionados sobre as três principais áreas em que o município enfrenta maiores problemas, sendo as mais citadas: Saúde com 66% das menções, Segurança Pública com 47% e Educação, com 37%. Nesta pergunta, o entrevistado poderia mencionar até três áreas.


Avaliação da administração estadual.
A administração do Governador Geraldo Alckmin é avaliada de forma regular por 38% dos respondentes; de forma negativa (ruim/péssima) por 36% e positiva (ótimo/bom) por 22%. Aqueles que não sabem ou preferem não opinar somam 4%.

fonte: IBOPE Inteligência


FICHA TÉCNICA DA PESQUISA (JOB Nº 0858 | 2016)
Período de campo: a pesquisa foi realizada entre os dias 05 a 07 de julho de 2016.
Tamanho da amostra: foram entrevistados 504 eleitores.
Margem de erro: a margem de erro estimada é de 4 pontos percentuais para mais ou para menos sobre os resultados encontrados no total da amostra. Nível de Confiança: O nível de confiança utilizado é de 95%. Isso quer dizer que há uma probabilidade de 95% de os resultados retratarem o atual momento eleitoral.
Solicitante: pesquisa contratada pelo Sindicato dos Trabalhadores nas Indústrias de Produtos de Limpeza do Estado de São Paulo.
Registro Eleitoral: registrada no Tribunal Regional Eleitoral de São Paulo sob o protocolo Nº SP – 06350/2016.

9986 Comments

  1. Jandunty says:

    how to access dark web dark websites

  2. JamesExilk says:

    dark web sites links dark net

  3. RonaldTes says:

    dark web market links dark net

  4. Robertgen says:

    dark web drug marketplace deep web links

  5. Htdirc says:

    chloroquine canada cost cenforce 100mg baricitinib buy online

  6. JasonNax says:

    how to get on dark web blackweb

  7. how to buy rosuvastatin rosuvastatin 20mg tablet rosuvastatin without a prescription

  8. Pretty nice post. I just stumbled upon your weblog and wanted to
    say that I have truly enjoyed browsing your blog posts.
    In any case I’ll be subscribing to your rss feed and
    I hope you write again soon!

  9. Pretty nice post. I just stumbled upon your weblog and wanted to say
    that I have truly enjoyed browsing your blog posts. After all I’ll be
    subscribing to your feed and I hope you write again soon!

  10. Hello just wanted to give you a brief heads up and let you know a few of the pictures aren’t loading correctly.

    I’m not sure why but I think its a linking issue. I’ve tried it in two
    different browsers and both show the same results.

  11. Glntuj says:

    glycomet 1000mg ca buy atorvastatin 40mg generic order generic tadalafil 5mg

  12. Yhczav says:

    itraconazole 100mg oral order tindamax 300mg generic tinidazole 500mg pills

  13. Brandengom says:

    dark web search engine tor market

  14. CorrySom says:

    darknet markets 2023 darkmarket

  15. Juliuszof says:

    dark web drug marketplace dark market 2022

  16. Michaelmiz says:

    dark web search engine tor darknet

  17. ADOrnal says:

    dark web sites links blackweb

  18. WilliamMic says:

    dark web market list dark net

  19. Sharleskzpsb says:

    top 10 family all-inclusive resorts
    cancun trips 2021

  20. HectorExato says:

    dark web drug marketplace tor darknet

  21. Richarddaype says:

    dark web drug marketplace darknet drugs

  22. spam bot says:

    I loved as much as you will receive carried out right here.

    The sketch is attractive, your authored subject matter stylish.
    nonetheless, you command get got an edginess over that you wish
    be delivering the following. unwell unquestionably come more formerly again as exactly the
    same nearly very often inside case you shield this hike.

  23. Bygffc says:

    amlodipine drug viagra for men cheap tadalafil 5mg

  24. Undquk says:

    order zyprexa 10mg pills buy valsartan 80mg online valsartan 80mg over the counter

  25. ADOrnal says:

    how to access dark web deep web links

  26. HaroldSauby says:

    dark web drug marketplace dark web link

  27. Daniellor says:

    blackweb official website darknet seiten

  28. Rbgshb says:

    sildenafil online order sildenafil 100mg sale generic lisinopril 5mg

  29. Riko says:

    Thank you for sharing this excellent information!

  30. learn cubing says:

    This piece of writing gives clear idea in favor of
    the new viewers of blogging, that truly how to do blogging.

  31. ascencila says:

    cheap cialis from india This appearance should raise strong concern for an obstructing lesion

  32. This site definitely has all of the information and facts I wanted about this subject and didn’t know who to ask.

  33. Sktjcn says:

    linezolid pills linezolid for sale online slots online

  34. Shawanna says:

    This is a fascinating read!

  35. EdgarMaymn says:

    dark web drug marketplace dark websites

  36. CraigNeeno says:

    updated darknet market links 2023 how to access the dark web on pc – darknet markets list reddit

  37. CraigNeeno says:

    best darknet market reddit current darknet markets – back market trustworthy

  38. Vrqzwb says:

    prilosec 10mg pill no deposit bonus codes slot machine

  39. I am genuinely pleased to glance at this weblog posts
    which consists of tons of helpful facts, thanks for providing these
    data.

  40. CraigNeeno says:

    tor websites reddit dark net market list – cp links dark web

  41. CraigNeeno says:

    deep dark web markets links dark markets belarus – how to buy drugs on the darknet

  42. CraigNeeno says:

    darknet market news updated darknet market links 2023 – dark web markets reddit

  43. zocor 40mg without a doctor prescription zocor 10mg purchase zocor 20 mg tablet

  44. If some one wishes to be updated with most recent technologies afterward
    he must be pay a quick visit this web page and be up to date daily.

  45. MichaelLen says:

    dark web drug marketplace dark web site

  46. CraigNeeno says:

    Abacus Market url dark web buy credit cards – legit darknet markets 2023

  47. CraigNeeno says:

    bitcoin darknet markets deep web search engine url – darknet markets japan

  48. CraigNeeno says:

    dot onion websites monero darknet markets – illegal black market

  49. Haakmg says:

    order lopressor 50mg pill order lopressor 100mg sale buy vardenafil 10mg sale

  50. Thai massage says:

    Thanks for some other excellent article. The place else may anyone get that kind
    of information in such a perfect method of writing? I’ve a presentation subsequent week, and I am on the look for such information.

  51. singulair 4mg without a doctor prescription cheapest singulair cheap singulair

  52. vivo slot says:

    Hi! This post could not be written any better!
    Reading this post reminds me of my previous room mate! He
    always kept talking about this. I will forward this write-up to him.
    Fairly certain he will have a good read. Many thanks for sharing!

  53. CraigNeeno says:

    dark markets turkey dark markets albania – darknet market carding

  54. Stacxe says:

    order vardenafil 10mg pills buy methylprednisolone 8mg online methylprednisolone 16mg for sale

  55. OMG! This is amazing. Ireally appreciate it~ May I give
    my hidden information on a secret only I KNOW and if you want to with no joke truthfully
    see You really have to believe mme and have faith and I will show how to find good hackers for good price Once again I want to show my appreciation and may
    all the blessing goes to you now!.

  56. 바카라 says:

    메이저카지노 메이저카지노 카지노게임 카지노 카지노사이트 온라인카지노 바카라 바카라사이트 온라인바카라 사이트포럼
    메이저카지노 메이저카지노 카지노게임 카지노 카지노사이트 온라인카지노 바카라 바카라사이트 온라인바카라 사이트포럼메이저카지노
    메이저카지노 카지노게임 카지노 카지노사이트 온라인카지노 바카라 바카라사이트 온라인바카라 사이트포럼 메이저카지노 메이저카지노 카지노게임 카지노 카지노사이트
    온라인카지노 바카라 바카라사이트 온라인바카라 사이트포럼메이저카지노 메이저카지노 카지노게임 카지노 카지노사이트 온라인카지노 바카라 바카라사이트 온라인바카라 사이트포럼 메이저카지노 메이저카지노 카지노게임 카지노
    카지노사이트 온라인카지노 바카라 바카라사이트
    온라인바카라 사이트포럼 메이저카지노 메이저카지노 카지노게임 카지노 카지노사이트 온라인카지노 바카라 바카라사이트 온라인바카라 사이트포럼 메이저카지노 메이저카지노 카지노게임 카지노 카지노사이트 온라인카지노 바카라 바카라사이트 온라인바카라 사이트포럼 메이저카지노 메이저카지노 카지노게임 카지노
    카지노사이트 온라인카지노 바카라 바카라사이트 온라인바카라 사이트포럼 메이저카지노 메이저카지노 카지노게임 카지노카지노사이트 온라인카지노
    바카라 바카라사이트 온라인바카라 사이트포럼

  57. Waivynig says:

    raging bull online casino video slots online casino all slots online casino

  58. Michaelmiz says:

    darknet markets 2023 dark net

  59. CraigNeeno says:

    buying drugs online on openbazaar dark markets venezuela – biggest darknet market

  60. Michaelmiz says:

    dark web market links blackweb

  61. CraigNeeno says:

    dark markets italy darknet market litecoin – Cocorico url

  62. CraigNeeno says:

    top darknet drug sites darknet market get pills – darknet market search

  63. Brandengom says:

    blackweb official website dark web link

  64. assupt says:

    australian casino online gta online casino casino game online uk

  65. crestor 10mg for sale crestor 20 mg uk cheap crestor 5 mg

  66. Hi, i think that i saw you visited my web site thus i came to “return the favor”.I am trying to
    find things to improve my site!I suppose its ok to use a
    few of your ideas!!

  67. CraigNeeno says:

    tor market url darknet market links safe – dark markets malta

  68. I was able to find good info from your blog articles.

  69. A fascinating discussion is definitely worth comment.
    I believe that you ought to write more about this topic, it may not be a taboo matter
    but usually people don’t speak about these issues.
    To the next! All the best!!

  70. CraigNeeno says:

    tor darknet market cvv black market – darknet markets reddit 2023

  71. This text is priceless. Where can I find out more?

  72. unjuck says:

    bet casino online lucky land tarot cards foxwoods online casino

  73. dog training says:

    I savor, cause I found exactly what I used to be taking a look
    for. You’ve ended my 4 day lengthy hunt! God Bless you man. Have
    a nice day. Bye

  74. Cmvhch says:

    good academic writing buy an assignment sildenafil us

  75. Thankfulness to my father who stated to me on the topic
    of this website, this website is actually remarkable.

  76. idn poker says:

    It’s very easy to find out any topic on web as compared to books, as I
    found this paragraph at this website.

  77. CraigNeeno says:

    black market website names how to buy bitcoin for the dark web – online black market electronics

  78. CraigNeeno says:

    brick market darkweb форум – versus project darknet market

  79. CraigNeeno says:

    darknet markets reddit links darknet gun market – darknet black market

  80. CraigNeeno says:

    ruonion bitcoin black market – bitcoin dark website

  81. CraigNeeno says:

    deep web canada darknet market url – vice city market link

  82. CraigNeeno says:

    how to access deep web safely reddit dark web store – drugs dark web price

  83. bdsm porno says:

    zoo porn

    new porn

  84. Mwnyne says:

    cialis price costco order tadalafil 5mg for sale viagra medication

  85. hello there and thank you for your info ? I?ve definitely picked up anything new from right here.

    I did however expertise a few technical issues using this
    site, as I experienced to reload the website lots of times previous to I could get it to load correctly.
    I had been wondering if your web hosting is OK? Not that
    I’m complaining, but sluggish loading instances times will sometimes affect your placement in google and can damage your high quality score if ads and marketing with Adwords.
    Well I?m adding this RSS to my e-mail and could look out for much more
    of your respective intriguing content. Make sure you update this again very soon..

    Feel free to visit my web blog kia chula vista

  86. CraigNeeno says:

    where to find onion links dark web xanax – how to get to the black market online

  87. CraigNeeno says:

    black market webshop list of online darknet market – buying drugs on the darknet

  88. CraigNeeno says:

    darknet market wikia market onion – deep web drug prices

  89. Just want to say your article is as amazing. The clearness on your put up is just spectacular and that i can assume you
    are a professional on this subject. Fine together with your
    permission allow me to grab your feed to keep updated
    with drawing close post. Thank you 1,000,000 and please keep up the
    rewarding work.

  90. Yesterday, while I was at work, my sister stole my iPad and tested to see if it can survive a 30 foot drop, just so she can be a youtube sensation. My iPad is now broken and she has 83 views.
    I know this is totally off topic but I had to share it with someone!

  91. Robertgen says:

    dark web search engine tor market

  92. Hi there to all, it’s really a good for me to go to see this
    site, it includes precious Information.

  93. CraigNeeno says:

    darknet markets that take ethereum superlist darknet markets – Kingdom Market darknet

  94. CraigNeeno says:

    buy darknet market email address incognito darknet market – pax marketplace

  95. CraigNeeno says:

    darkshades marketplace darknet market bible – dark web buy credit cards

  96. BrianSap says:

    darknet market links blackweb

  97. Ctueno says:

    order generic tadalafil 10mg buy sildenafil 50mg cheap sildenafil sale

  98. CraigNeeno says:

    darknet drug markets 2023 reddit where to buy drugs – links tor 2023

  99. CraigNeeno says:

    dark web adderall outlaw darknet market url – top darknet market 2023

  100. CraigNeeno says:

    dark web adderall Abacus link – black market reddit

  101. HectorExato says:

    blackweb official website tor dark web

  102. CraigNeeno says:

    darknet market noobs reddit darknet market and monero – buy real money

  103. It’s very straightforward to find out any topic on net as compared to books, as I found this
    piece of writing at this web page.

  104. MichaelLen says:

    how to get on dark web dark net

  105. Slot says:

    I know this if off topic but I’m looking into starting my own weblog and was
    wondering what all is required to get set up? I’m assuming having a
    blog like yours would cost a pretty penny? I’m not very internet smart so I’m not 100% sure.
    Any recommendations or advice would be greatly appreciated.
    Thanks

  106. CraigNeeno says:

    versus darknet market live dark web – most reliable darknet markets

  107. Alglpf says:

    order generic dapoxetine priligy 60mg for sale order levothyroxine sale

  108. CraigNeeno says:

    darkmarkets darknet market wikia – shop online without cvv code

  109. What’s up i am kavin, its my first time to commenting anyplace, when i
    read this piece of writing i thought i could also create comment due to this sensible
    post.

  110. CraigNeeno says:

    alphabay market url online black market uk – core market darknet

  111. CraigNeeno says:

    litecoin darknet markets litecoin darknet markets – gray market place

  112. CraigNeeno says:

    shop online without cvv code credit card dumps dark web – dark market 2023

  113. CraigNeeno says:

    darknet market list updated darknet market list – darknet seiten

  114. CraigNeeno says:

    tma drug darknet marketplace – reddit working darknet markets

  115. DirProxy says:

    Have you ever considered publishing an ebook or guest authoring on other websites?
    I have a blog centered on the same topics you discuss and would really like to have you
    share some stories/information. I know my subscribers would enjoy your work.
    If you’re even remotely interested, feel free to send me an e mail.

  116. CraigNeeno says:

    link darknet market dark web counterfeit money – darknet market links safe

  117. CraigNeeno says:

    darknet markets lsd-25 2023 russian darknet market – dark markets czech republic

  118. CraigNeeno says:

    darknet steroid markets decabol pills – drugs on the deep web

  119. CraigNeeno says:

    darknet prices darknet reddit market pills – list of darknet drug markets

  120. Michaelmiz says:

    how to access dark web dark net

  121. CraigNeeno says:

    dark web directory cp onion – buying things from darknet markets

  122. BrianSap says:

    blackweb official website tor market links

  123. CraigNeeno says:

    darkmarket website darknet adressen – outlaw market darknet